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Shree Cement-Infra, Power Makes Money For None



2QFY11 results. Shree's 2QFY11 profit was below Street and our estimates, mainly owing to lower profitability from the cement and power business. Our FY11 estimates are under review.

n Realizations declined 13% yoy and 10.2% qoq at ~`3,010/ton in the quarter. Cement aggregate volumes dipped 7.6% yoy and 6.2% qoq to 2.28m tons. Drop of 28% yoy (76% qoq) in Power revenues (ex inter-segmental) further impacted the decline in overall revenues. We expect cement demand and prices to revive in 2HFY11.

n Profitability takes a hit. Shree's EBITDA stood at `590/ton (down 62% yoy and 43% qoq) compared with `440/ton for UltraTech and `650/ton for Ambuja. Lower Cement & Power realizations and higher depreciation led to 94% yoy PAT decline; however, lower interest cost (down 67% qoq) due to debt repayment, arrested the fall.

n Dismal performance by Power. Sale of power units dipped 67% qoq (~73m units including traded units) due to lower realizations as an effect of higher supply from hydro-power projects in the industry. Power EBITDA was ~`1.2/unit (`1.8/unit qoq; `5/unit yoy). The company targets commissioning 300MW of power plant capacity in 1QFY12 and 1.5m ton grinding unit in 4QFY11.

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