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Silver



I have no idea whether silver will stop its bull run at 50, 60, 100 (USD prices) or never in my lifetime.

I have no idea whether silver is under-valued, correctly valued, or over-valued. People have many theories, and they all have some believable parts and some not not so believable parts.

However, like all bull runs which speed up as they go into the bubble zone, silver has been speeding up its gains. 
Not sure if it has gone to the bubble territory yet, but if it is not bubble, then it is Bernanke we have to thank for a 2% daily gain. Both causes are un-natural.

And similarly like we can never predict the exact top of bubble, we will not be able to predict the top of silver (also see line #1 above).


#1. However, like all bubbles which end leaving behind many latecomers holding the bag, I am sure silver will do the same.

The question I have for you is ... do you think the bust will happen over a week, over a month, or over a year? I do not mean to say it will start next week, my question is whether the 10, 20 or 50% crash will all be done within a week; and with shockwaves similar to September 2008 / Lehman bust when Bush, Obama and McCain rushed to start TARP (maybe it was called something different)?

Or will people get time to see that the trend has reversed?

#2. You might remember Roubini laid out a 12 step roadmap for the 2008 crash, and all 12 steps happened as predicted.
Are there people laying out the roadmap on how silver will reverse and what it will do in its dust?

#3. While I have seen people who have been bull for years (faber - bull on gold) and I have seen people who have been bear for years (peter schiff - bear on US), I have not read someone un-biased and knowledgable on silver ... whatever I have seen can be traced back to either long standing personal bias or conspiracy theories (JP Morgan) ... however true that might be, something about them makes me not want to believe.

If you have seen something which meets the knowledgable but unbiased standard, do share.

Thanks in advance.

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